Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 7.330034e-01 0.935848 1.163422 1.434758 1.746576 2.090952 2.497255
2025-06-29 4.421744e-01 0.691317 1.007131 1.423443 1.944638 2.563201 3.340195
2025-07-06 2.538394e-01 0.500464 0.856680 1.374082 2.073128 2.953963 4.116375
2025-07-13 1.538366e-01 0.388489 0.774135 1.385148 2.264732 3.426542 5.017816
2025-07-20 9.113791e-02 0.304302 0.704851 1.393698 2.442512 3.884027 5.919104
2025-07-27 4.726843e-02 0.226036 0.618465 1.354121 2.537990 4.227527 6.680015
2025-08-03 2.235017e-02 0.167579 0.545741 1.317766 2.625825 4.556438 7.427429
2025-08-10 1.057179e-02 0.131995 0.505006 1.325587 2.776524 4.976432 8.310321
2025-08-17 3.384399e-03 0.095446 0.445069 1.283715 2.837652 5.262057 9.009126
2025-08-24 1.376760e-03 0.082315 0.439459 1.345507 3.073593 5.816466 10.105328
2025-08-31 2.411021e-04 0.063973 0.409185 1.349422 3.206985 6.216363 10.986630
2025-09-07 4.638983e-05 0.058362 0.417425 1.437171 3.492576 6.860741 12.240092
2025-09-14 5.795022e-08 0.049533 0.410811 1.492787 3.728155 7.442413 13.428508
2025-09-21 NaN 0.039404 0.392533 1.517962 3.909039 7.943821 14.511654
2025-09-28 NaN 0.027241 0.353775 1.485086 3.976802 8.264030 15.329972
2025-10-05 NaN 0.020935 0.337706 1.506501 4.148768 8.758217 16.421603
2025-10-12 NaN 0.015590 0.320385 1.520606 4.305509 9.230093 17.486974
2025-10-19 NaN 0.009624 0.286800 1.481133 4.350064 9.513749 18.266557
2025-10-26 NaN 0.005557 0.256688 1.443753 4.394023 9.795215 19.046090
2025-11-02 NaN 0.003611 0.242583 1.452745 4.534795 10.245239 20.096767
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001655 0.214627 1.408482 4.556484 10.487509 20.822385
2025-11-16 NaN 0.001313 0.218184 1.474478 4.823507 11.166092 22.252173
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000665 0.205443 1.478737 4.952449 11.603006 23.302099